Mainz 05 II 1-1 Bahlinger SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-1.1pp
16%
Draw
19%
-3.6pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahlinger SC EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
2.12/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.18
+0% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bahlinger SC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
19.04.2025 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 4-3 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
20.10.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-1 HT 1-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
02.04.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-0 HT 2-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 2-1 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Bahlinger SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II and Bahlinger SC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mainz 05 II at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mainz 05 II and 1.50 for Bahlinger SC.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Bahlinger SC?

Mainz 05 II 1-1 Bahlinger SC in the Germany - Regional League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Bahlinger SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 65%, draw 16%, Bahlinger SC 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mainz 05 II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
11 Apr 2026
14:30 Weiche Flensburg vs Bremer SV Analysis →
15:00 Chemnitzer FC vs Hertha Berlin II Analysis →
15:00 Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Babelsberg Analysis →
15:00 BFC Dynamo vs Hertha Zehlendorf Analysis →
15:00 Luckenwalde vs Eilenburg Analysis →
15:00 Stuttgarter Kickers vs FSV Frankfurt Analysis →