Thisted 2-0 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 11 Apr 2026

Thisted
2-0 HT 1-0
Naestved
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Thisted vs Naestved Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
47%
1.7
4-5 Goals
16%
3.92
6+ Goals
7%
18.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thisted v Naestved — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.24/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.90
-6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +47%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5

Thisted vs Naestved Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thisted
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Naestved
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.11.2025 Thisted Thisted 1-2 HT 1-2 Naestved Naestved DAN2
14.09.2025 Naestved Naestved 0-2 HT 0-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
09.03.2025 Naestved Naestved 2-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
01.09.2024 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-1 Naestved Naestved DAN2
07.11.2021 Naestved Naestved 4-3 HT 2-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
25.09.2021 Thisted Thisted 2-1 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
POST-MATCH Thisted vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thisted saw off Naestved 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Naestved at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naestved led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Thisted and 1.67 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Thisted vs Naestved?

Thisted 2-0 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Thisted 27%, draw 29%, Naestved 44%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naestved) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naestved) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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