VVV-Venlo 3-3 De Graafschap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 11 Apr 2026

VVV-Venlo
3-3 HT 0-1
De Graafschap
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.89
Over
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
63%
1.34
No
37%
2.99
Total Goals
0-1
23%
6.08
2-3
40%
2.05
4-5
26%
2.39
6+
11%
4.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.89
1/2
8%
20.45
1/X
4%
12.35
X/1
7%
6.86
X/2
13%
5.69
X/X
11%
6.35
2/1
9%
23.95
2/2
20%
2.92
2/X
8%
12.1
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

VVV-Venlo v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY De Graafschap The Market 46%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.53/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.46
-5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
20.1 Crosses 23.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY De Graafschap
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.99 xG 1.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
292 Passes 360
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.08.2025 De Graafschap De Graafschap 3-2 HT 2-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
28.04.2025 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-1 HT 0-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
01.12.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 3-1 HT 2-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
26.01.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 3-0 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
01.09.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-0 HT 1-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
12.05.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 HT 0-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2

VVV-Venlo 3-3 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
3-3
AWAY De Graafschap
3.24 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
258 Passes 286
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
39 Box Touches 28
32 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 3-3 draw left VVV-Venlo and De Graafschap with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

A gentle 41% lean on De Graafschap didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

The match data tells the story: VVV-Venlo had 50% of the ball to De Graafschap's 50%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 3.24 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.83 for De Graafschap.

VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap Result & Final Score

VVV-Venlo 3-3 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 35%, draw 24%, De Graafschap 41%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (De Graafschap) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (De Graafschap) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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