De Graafschap vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
De Graafschap v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
2-1
HT 0-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-1
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
De Graafschap 3-2 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics
De Graafschap squeezed past VVV-Venlo 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, De Graafschap had 56% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 44%, shots finished 29-9, expected goals 2.75 to 1.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold De Graafschap's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for De Graafschap and 1.67 for VVV-Venlo.
What was the final score of De Graafschap vs VVV-Venlo?
De Graafschap 3-2 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs VVV-Venlo?
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 61%, draw 17%, VVV-Venlo 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.