FC Oss 4-0 MVV Maastricht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
8.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.49
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
14%
5.82
X/2
12%
6.09
X/X
13%
5.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.8
2/2
16%
3.74
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 11% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.7pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.28/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.64
-8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.9 Crosses 17.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
1W-1D-4L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.19 xG 1.47
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
263 Passes 443
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2025 FC Oss FC Oss 1-0 HT 1-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
27.09.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
22.12.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
10.11.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
10.02.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 5-1 HT 1-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
07.10.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
4-0
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.53 xG 0.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
268 Passes 348
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs MVV Maastricht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Oss ran out comfortable winners over MVV Maastricht 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day FC Oss made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Oss had 44% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 56%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 2.53 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Oss and 1.83 for MVV Maastricht.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs MVV Maastricht?

FC Oss 4-0 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs MVV Maastricht?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Oss win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 39%, draw 26%, MVV Maastricht 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Oss), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Oss) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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