FC Eindhoven 1-0 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.75
No
39%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.19
6+ Goals
12%
11.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.19 — our 26% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.3
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
16%
4.3
X/2
10%
8.79
X/X
6%
5.28
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.6
2/2
8%
6.81
2/X
7%
15.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.6 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+7.5pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.52/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.46
-4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
21.9 Crosses 16.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Utrecht II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.21 xG 0.77
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
357 Passes 389
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-2 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
09.12.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-4 HT 0-2 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
11.03.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
15.12.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 2-5 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
28.04.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
07.11.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
1-0
AWAY Utrecht II
0.23 xG 0.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
368 Passes 344
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven nicked a narrow win over Utrecht II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 51% of the ball to Utrecht II's 49%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.23 to 0.88 — on chances, Utrecht II could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for FC Eindhoven and 0.67 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Utrecht II?

FC Eindhoven 1-0 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 52%, draw 23%, Utrecht II 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Eindhoven) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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