Dordrecht 1-0 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
2.79
6+ Goals
14%
7.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.66
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
22.2
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
11%
7.13
X/2
17%
5.19
X/X
8%
5.41
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
17%
2.84
2/X
5%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.2 — our 14% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.26/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.27
+10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
14.7 Crosses 18.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cambuur
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.25 xG 1.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
260 Passes 333
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2025 Cambuur Cambuur 1-0 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
30.08.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-0 HT 2-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
26.04.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 3-3 HT 2-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
19.12.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-3 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOK
06.10.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 5-2 HT 3-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
07.05.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
1-0
AWAY Cambuur
1.25 xG 0.70
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 7
208 Passes 366
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht squeezed past Cambuur 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cambuur at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dordrecht had 40% of the ball to Cambuur's 60%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.25 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dordrecht and 1.67 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Cambuur?

Dordrecht 1-0 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 29%, draw 23%, Cambuur 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
8 Aug 2025
21:00 Den Bosch vs Ajax II Analysis →
21:00 FC Eindhoven vs Utrecht II Analysis →
21:00 De Graafschap vs VVV-Venlo Analysis →
21:00 FC Oss vs MVV Maastricht Analysis →