Den Bosch 2-0 Ajax II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.9
Over 2.5
60%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.73
No
39%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.69
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
17%
4.74
X/2
5%
7.68
X/X
9%
4.71
2/1
8%
24.35
2/2
11%
5.69
2/X
5%
13.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
48%
+7.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
49%
-8.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
51%
+8.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.8pp
39%
BTTS No
46%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax II EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.63/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.59
+4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
20.1 Crosses 12.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ajax II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.78 xG 1.59
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 Passes 436
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-1 HT 1-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
30.08.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 1-2 HT 1-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
08.04.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 0-2 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
01.12.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-3 HT 3-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
10.02.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 4-2 HT 1-2 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
14.11.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 4-4 HT 2-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
2-0
AWAY Ajax II
0.93 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
391 Passes 374
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 36
7 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Ajax II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch got the better of Ajax II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Den Bosch as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Den Bosch had 50% of the ball to Ajax II's 50%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.93 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Den Bosch had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Den Bosch and 1.83 for Ajax II.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Ajax II?

Den Bosch 2-0 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Ajax II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 55%, draw 21%, Ajax II 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Den Bosch) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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