Ajka 1-4 Tiszakecske — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-5.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiszakecske EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
0.96/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.14
-29% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tiszakecske
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2025 Ajka Ajka 2-1 HT 0-0 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske MACK
19.10.2025 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 2-1 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
05.05.2024 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 2-1 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
05.11.2023 Ajka Ajka 1-0 HT 1-0 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske MAC2
01.11.2023 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MACK
09.04.2023 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 1-3 HT 0-3 Ajka Ajka MAC2
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Tiszakecske
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiszakecske cruised past Ajka 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ajka at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ajka and 1.17 for Tiszakecske.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Tiszakecske?

Ajka 1-4 Tiszakecske in the Hungary - NB II on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Tiszakecske?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ajka 41%, draw 32%, Tiszakecske 27%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ajka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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