Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.73
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
2.96
6+ Goals
14%
9.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-5.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.7pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.70/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.99
-22% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
434 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Aluminij
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2026 Aluminij Aluminij 1-2 HT 1-2 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
03.10.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 HT 1-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
26.07.2025 Aluminij Aluminij 0-3 HT 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
20.04.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 5-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
24.02.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 0-4 HT 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
29.10.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2-1
AWAY Aluminij
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana edged past Aluminij 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 64% of the ball to Aluminij's 36%, shots finished 12-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 0.33 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij?

Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 59%, draw 22%, Aluminij 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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