Al Akhdoud 0-2 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
12.23
Draw
11%
7.78
Away
81%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
4.0
Over 2.5
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
11.4
2-3 Goals
34%
2.73
4-5 Goals
32%
2.2
6+ Goals
16%
2.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
28%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
46%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
8%
Home Win
5%
+3.2pp
11%
Draw
9%
+1.2pp
81%
Away Win
85%
-4.4pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+10.4pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-10.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 91%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
0.83/2.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.71
+10% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +14%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
257 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 498 · 87%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.3
14.3 Crosses 23.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Nassr
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 4.20
0.39 xG 3.10
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
205 Passes 575
76% Pass Accuracy 91%
10 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.12.2025 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
12.05.2025 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-9 HT 0-4 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
09.01.2025 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
09.05.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 2-3 HT 0-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
24.11.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
0-2
AWAY Al Nassr
0.10 xG 3.15
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
263 Passes 522
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 44
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr beat Al Akhdoud 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 36% of the ball to Al Nassr's 64%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 0.10 to 3.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Al Akhdoud and 4.20 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Nassr?

Al Akhdoud 0-2 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 8%, draw 11%, Al Nassr 81%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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