Al Nassr 3-0 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒17:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.16
Draw
12%
7.13
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.94
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
9.73
2-3 Goals
32%
2.55
4-5 Goals
30%
2.26
6+ Goals
18%
3.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
31%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
82%
-2.3pp
12%
Draw
11%
+1.2pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+1.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.39/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.44
+11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +37%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
427 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 77%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
23.0 Crosses 12.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
3.09 xG 0.36
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
610 Passes 206
91% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2025 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-9 HT 0-4 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
09.01.2025 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
09.05.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 2-3 HT 0-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
24.11.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
3-0
AWAY Al Akhdoud
3.11 xG 0.47
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
434 Passes 203
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 4
25 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr ran out comfortable winners over Al Akhdoud 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Al Nassr had 65% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 35%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 3.11 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Al Nassr and 0.75 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Nassr 3-0 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 80%, draw 12%, Al Akhdoud 8%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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