Al-Qadsiah 1-1 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
13%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
8.31
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.2 — our 29% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
73%
-4.2pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.0pp
13%
Away Win
10%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 12%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
2.03/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.15
-14% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
450 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
26.7 Crosses 11.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qadsiah
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Damac FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.52 xG 1.10
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
408 Passes 252
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2025 Damac FC Damac FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
25.10.2024 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 2-1 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
06.02.2021 Damac FC Damac FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
23.10.2020 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 2-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Qadsiah
1-1
AWAY Damac FC
1.55 xG 0.30
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
18 Corners 0
515 Passes 196
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
52 Box Touches 6
63 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al-Qadsiah vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah and Damac FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al-Qadsiah at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 70% of the ball to Damac FC's 30%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.55 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al-Qadsiah had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 1.25 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Damac FC?

Al-Qadsiah 1-1 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 69%, draw 18%, Damac FC 13%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✗ Over 2.5
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