Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-0 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 29% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.79/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.24
+3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
18.8 Crosses 12.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.89 xG 1.44
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
453 Passes 337
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-1 HT 2-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SAKK
20.05.2025 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
01.04.2025 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SAKK
22.01.2025 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
26.04.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
03.11.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2-0
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
2.36 xG 0.93
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
557 Passes 227
91% Pass Accuracy 77%
43 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah got the better of Al Shabab Riyadh 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 68% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 32%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.36 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 1.67 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-0 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 55%, draw 21%, Al Shabab Riyadh 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✗ BTTS Yes
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