Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-1 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
-0.0pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.0pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.1pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 23%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.91/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.99
-49% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
26.0 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.82 xG 1.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
416 Passes 366
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2025 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
01.04.2025 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SAKK
22.01.2025 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
26.04.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
03.11.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
27.04.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
4-1
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
2.96 xG 0.37
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
456 Passes 311
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
40 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah swept aside Al Shabab Riyadh 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 58% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 42%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 2.96 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 1.67 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-1 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 58%, draw 20%, Al Shabab Riyadh 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SAKK More Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025
17:40 Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fateh Analysis →