Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒17:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.27
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.68
Over 2.5
66%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
8.77
2-3 Goals
40%
2.43
4-5 Goals
31%
2.29
6+ Goals
13%
3.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-8.9pp
15%
Draw
15%
+0.6pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
2.65/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.72
+24% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / +7%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
474 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 78%
41.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
25.9 Crosses 24.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Fateh
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.72 xG 1.24
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
420 Passes 262
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
38 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2025 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
16.05.2025 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3-4 HT 2-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
16.01.2025 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 9-0 HT 4-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
26.04.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
03.11.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
14.03.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
4-1
AWAY Al Fateh
2.12 xG 0.39
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
348 Passes 263
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh cruised past Al Fateh 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 55% of the ball to Al Fateh's 45%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.12 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 1.00 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fateh?

Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 66%, draw 15%, Al Fateh 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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