Chiangrai United 1-1 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+6.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
35%
-6.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.98/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.34
-23% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
16.7 Crosses 14.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sukhothai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.91 xG 1.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 297
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2025 Sukhothai Sukhothai 1-1 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
19.04.2025 Sukhothai Sukhothai 3-3 HT 1-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
30.11.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
02.03.2024 Sukhothai Sukhothai 2-1 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
02.10.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 2-1 HT 2-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
25.02.2023 Sukhothai Sukhothai 3-0 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
1-1
AWAY Sukhothai
0.62 xG 1.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
318 Passes 326
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangrai United and Sukhothai shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chiangrai United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 51% of the ball to Sukhothai's 49%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.62 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sukhothai led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chiangrai United and 1.67 for Sukhothai.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs Sukhothai?

Chiangrai United 1-1 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chiangrai United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 44%, draw 28%, Sukhothai 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chiangrai United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chiangrai United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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