Nakhon Ratchasima vs Bangkok United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nakhon Ratchasima v Bangkok United — Team-Based Signals
Nakhon Ratchasima vs Bangkok United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-0
Bangkok United
TAY
3-0
HT 1-0
Nakhon Ratchasima
TAY
2-2
HT 2-0
Nakhon Ratchasima
TAY
Nakhon Ratchasima 1-0 Bangkok United — Actual Match Statistics
Nakhon Ratchasima squeezed past Bangkok United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Bangkok United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 49% of the ball to Bangkok United's 51%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.21 to 0.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bangkok United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nakhon Ratchasima and 2.50 for Bangkok United.
What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Bangkok United?
Nakhon Ratchasima 1-0 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Bangkok United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 29%, draw 23%, Bangkok United 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bangkok United) went the other way.