Hills Brumbies 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.78
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
69%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.68
Over 2.5
65%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
42%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+8.4pp
12%
Draw
14%
-2.0pp
69%
Away Win
76%
-6.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hills Brumbies EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 80%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.02/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.96/1.41
+8% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -35%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.8
Yellow Cards 1.9
POST-MATCH Hills Brumbies vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers edged past Hills Brumbies 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Hills Brumbies vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Hills Brumbies 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hills Brumbies vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Hills Brumbies 18%, draw 12%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 69%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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