Monaro Panthers 1-1 Tuggeranong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒10:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.98
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.1pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.4pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaro Panthers EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 18%
-16% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.26/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.17
-14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaro Panthers
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Tuggeranong United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 6-2 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
16.07.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-0 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVTCT
20.05.2023 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 2-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
11.07.2021 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-3 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVNPL
15.05.2021 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 2-2 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
22.08.2020 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 1-1 HT 1-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Monaro Panthers vs Tuggeranong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaro Panthers and Tuggeranong United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Monaro Panthers at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaro Panthers had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Monaro Panthers and 1.17 for Tuggeranong United.

What was the final score of Monaro Panthers vs Tuggeranong United?

Monaro Panthers 1-1 Tuggeranong United in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaro Panthers vs Tuggeranong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaro Panthers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Monaro Panthers 59%, draw 22%, Tuggeranong United 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monaro Panthers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monaro Panthers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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