St George City FA 1-1 Sutherland Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 May 2024

St George City FA
1-1 HT 1-1
Sutherland Sharks
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

St George City FA vs Sutherland Sharks Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+13.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-13.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.7pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St George City FA v Sutherland Sharks — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George City FA EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutherland Sharks EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -20%
1.99/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.55
+30% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.8 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

St George City FA vs Sutherland Sharks Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George City FA
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sutherland Sharks
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.32 xG 0.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 Passes 388
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.08.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 3-1 HT 0-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
29.04.2023 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-2 HT 0-2 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
POST-MATCH St George City FA vs Sutherland Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George City FA and Sutherland Sharks shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had St George City FA at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, St George City FA had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for St George City FA and 0.50 for Sutherland Sharks.

What was the final score of St George City FA vs Sutherland Sharks?

St George City FA 1-1 Sutherland Sharks in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George City FA vs Sutherland Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split St George City FA 55%, draw 26%, Sutherland Sharks 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St George City FA), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St George City FA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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