Western Sydney W. II 3-2 Sydney Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.31
No
39%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.9pp
39%
BTTS No
28%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney Olympic EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.78/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.90
+23% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.3 Crosses 18.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney W. II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sydney Olympic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.75 xG 1.37
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
363 Passes 243
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
24.06.2023 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 3-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
11.03.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 3-2 HT 2-2 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
03.10.2020 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 1-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Western Sydney W. II vs Sydney Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney W. II nicked a narrow win over Sydney Olympic 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 21% / 38% — and on the day Western Sydney W. II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sydney Olympic led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Western Sydney W. II and 2.00 for Sydney Olympic.

What was the final score of Western Sydney W. II vs Sydney Olympic?

Western Sydney W. II 3-2 Sydney Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney W. II vs Sydney Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney W. II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney W. II 41%, draw 21%, Sydney Olympic 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Sydney W. II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western Sydney W. II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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