Portimonense 2-2 Rio Ave — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 11 May 2024

Portimonense
2-2 HT 0-1
Rio Ave
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Portimonense vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.14
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.73
X/2
14%
6.39
X/X
13%
4.28
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
10%
4.78
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portimonense v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.31/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.52
-21% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
19.6 Crosses 16.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Portimonense vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Rio Ave
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.92 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
299 Passes 343
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.01.2024 Rio Ave Rio Ave 2-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
08.04.2023 Portimonense Portimonense 2-2 HT 0-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
24.10.2022 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
01.05.2021 Portimonense Portimonense 0-0 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
08.01.2021 Rio Ave Rio Ave 3-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
09.07.2020 Rio Ave Rio Ave 2-1 HT 1-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR

Portimonense 2-2 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
2-2
AWAY Rio Ave
2.19 xG 0.87
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
328 Passes 257
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 15
39 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Rio Ave
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense and Rio Ave couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Portimonense had 57% of the ball to Rio Ave's 43%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.19 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rio Ave led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Portimonense and 1.67 for Rio Ave.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Rio Ave?

Portimonense 2-2 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Rio Ave?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 38%, draw 30%, Rio Ave 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portimonense), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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