Nottingham Forest 2-2 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 11 May 2025

Nottingham Forest
2-2 HT 1-1
Leicester City
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
9.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.72
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
17.7
X/1
14%
3.93
X/2
9%
14.25
X/X
10%
6.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.65
2/2
8%
11.9
2/X
6%
20.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.65 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.4pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.4pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nottingham Forest v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 17%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.41/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.01
-1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
446 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
18.4 Crosses 14.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Leicester City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.80 xG 1.13
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
260 Passes 432
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.10.2024 Leicester City Leicester City 1-3 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
14.01.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-0 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
03.10.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 4-0 HT 3-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
06.02.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4-1 HT 3-1 Leicester City Leicester City FAK
19.02.2014 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-2 HT 2-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
09.11.2013 Leicester City Leicester City 0-2 HT 0-2 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL

Nottingham Forest 2-2 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
2-2
AWAY Leicester City
1.30 xG 1.05
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
368 Passes 276
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest and Leicester City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nottingham Forest at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 56% of the ball to Leicester City's 44%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.30 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nottingham Forest had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.33 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City?

Nottingham Forest 2-2 Leicester City in the England - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 53%, draw 25%, Leicester City 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nottingham Forest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
11 May 2025
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