Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Arsenal
İNP
2-2
HT 1-2
Arsenal
İNP
Liverpool 2-2 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool and Arsenal couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Liverpool at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Liverpool had 44% of the ball to Arsenal's 56%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.39 to 2.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Liverpool and 1.50 for Arsenal.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Liverpool 2-2 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 43%, draw 24%, Arsenal 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.