Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Liverpool v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Liverpool 2-2 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool and Arsenal traded blows to a 2-2 standstill. From 2-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
We leaned Liverpool at 43% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, Arsenal saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.39 to 2.58.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Liverpool against 1.50 for Arsenal.
Liverpool vs Arsenal Result & Final Score
Liverpool 2 - 2 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 43%, draw 27%, Arsenal 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.