Manchester United 0-2 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 11 May 2025

Manchester United
0-2 HT 0-1
West Ham United
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Manchester United vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 27% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.7
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
17%
4.89
X/2
11%
7.67
X/X
11%
5.16
2/1
9%
23.3
2/2
12%
5.43
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.0pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.19/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.72
-6% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
15.1 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Manchester United vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY West Ham United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 1.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
476 Passes 308
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 2-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
04.02.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 3-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
23.12.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 2-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
07.05.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
01.03.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 3-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United FAK
30.10.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 1-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP

Manchester United 0-2 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
0-2
AWAY West Ham United
2.23 xG 1.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
455 Passes 406
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
35 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United saw off Manchester United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Manchester United had 52% of the ball to West Ham United's 48%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.23 to 1.76 — the balance of chances actually favoured Manchester United.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Manchester United and 1.00 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs West Ham United?

Manchester United 0-2 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 43%, draw 26%, West Ham United 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Manchester United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
11 May 2025
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