Newcastle United vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle United v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle United vs Chelsea Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Chelsea
İNLK
1-1
HT 0-1
Newcastle United
İNLK
4-1
HT 1-1
Chelsea
İNP
1-1
HT 1-1
Newcastle United
İNP
Newcastle United 2-0 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle United saw off Chelsea 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and on the day Newcastle United made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Newcastle United had 45% of the ball to Chelsea's 55%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.56 to 0.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Newcastle United and 1.33 for Chelsea.
What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Chelsea?
Newcastle United 2-0 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Chelsea?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 40%, draw 27%, Chelsea 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.