Newcastle United vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities
Newcastle United v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle United vs Chelsea Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Newcastle United 2-0 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle United saw off Chelsea 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Newcastle United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chelsea saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.56 to 0.69.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Newcastle United against 1.33 for Chelsea.
Newcastle United vs Chelsea Result & Final Score
Newcastle United 2 - 0 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Newcastle United vs Chelsea Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 43%, draw 26%, Chelsea 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.