Luzern 1-1 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
27%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.41
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
10%
11.9
X/1
11%
5.98
X/2
12%
6.47
X/X
7%
5.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.2
2/2
20%
3.86
2/X
6%
12.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.2 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.5pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.61/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.44
-2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
19.9 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.56 xG 1.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
296 Passes 321
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-4 HT 0-3 Luzern Luzern İSV
19.01.2025 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
05.10.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-2 HT 1-2 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
15.05.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-2 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
07.04.2024 Luzern Luzern 0-0 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
28.01.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-1 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
1-1
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.86 xG 1.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
307 Passes 215
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern and Lausanne Sports couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Luzern had 58% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 42%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.86 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Luzern and 0.67 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Lausanne Sports?

Luzern 1-1 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Luzern 40%, draw 23%, Lausanne Sports 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luzern), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luzern) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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