Lausanne Sports 1-4 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.8
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.74
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
16%
4.87
X/2
10%
7.53
X/X
12%
5.09
2/1
8%
23.75
2/2
12%
5.39
2/X
6%
13.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.36/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.51
-5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.7 Crosses 15.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lausanne Sports
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Luzern
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.75 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
320 Passes 301
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.01.2025 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
05.10.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-2 HT 1-2 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
15.05.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-2 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
07.04.2024 Luzern Luzern 0-0 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
28.01.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-1 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
08.10.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-1 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lausanne Sports
1-4
AWAY Luzern
1.15 xG 2.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
285 Passes 307
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lausanne Sports vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern cruised past Lausanne Sports 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lausanne Sports at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lausanne Sports had 49% of the ball to Luzern's 51%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.15 to 2.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lausanne Sports and 1.17 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs Luzern?

Lausanne Sports 1-4 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 46%, draw 26%, Luzern 29%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lausanne Sports) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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