Winterthur 0-2 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.54
2-3 Goals
38%
2.07
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
15%
6.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.93
1/2
11%
19.25
1/X
8%
17.3
X/1
9%
12.2
X/2
14%
4.28
X/X
9%
7.16
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
25%
1.84
2/X
6%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.7pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-11.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 66%
+9% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.11/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.79
+9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / +50%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
239 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
14.2 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Basel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.77 xG 2.70
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
306 Passes 469
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Basel Basel 5-0 HT 3-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
26.10.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-6 HT 0-3 Basel Basel İSV
16.03.2024 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
30.01.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-3 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
30.07.2023 Basel Basel 5-2 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
30.04.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-4 HT 1-2 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
0-2
AWAY Basel
0.36 xG 1.71
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
258 Passes 558
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel beat Winterthur 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Winterthur had 35% of the ball to Basel's 65%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.36 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Winterthur and 4.00 for Basel.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Basel?

Winterthur 0-2 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 27%, draw 24%, Basel 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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