Napoli 2-2 Genoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 11 May 2025

Napoli
2 - 2 HT 1 - 1
Genoa
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Napoli vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
75%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.67
Away
8%
7.88
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.21
No
56%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.6
2-3
46%
1.81
4-5
24%
3.23
6+
6%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1.54
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
3%
21.8
X/1
23%
3.69
X/2
4%
19.6
X/X
10%
6.74
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
4%
18.45
2/X
3%
26.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Napoli v Genoa — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Napoli The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa The Market 13%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.12 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.61
0.65 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.98
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Strong
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
33 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2

Napoli vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Genoa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.53 xG 0.85
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
533 Passes 238
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2024 Genoa Genoa 1-2 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
17.02.2024 Napoli Napoli 1-1 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
16.09.2023 Genoa Genoa 2-2 HT 1-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
15.05.2022 Napoli Napoli 3-0 HT 1-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
29.08.2021 Genoa Genoa 1-2 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
06.02.2021 Genoa Genoa 2-1 HT 2-0 Napoli Napoli İTA

Napoli 2-2 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
2 - 2
AWAY Genoa
1.70 xG 0.59
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
433 Passes 270
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Napoli vs Genoa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Napoli and Genoa finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Napoli at 75% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The one blemish: no to both teams scoring (56%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Napoli had 59% of the ball to Genoa's 41%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.70 to 0.59.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Napoli and 1.17 for Genoa.

Napoli vs Genoa Result & Final Score

Napoli 2 - 2 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Napoli vs Genoa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Napoli 75%, draw 17%, Genoa 8%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Napoli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napoli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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