Quilmes 1-1 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 May 2025

Quilmes
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Patronato
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.39
No
59%
1.51
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
48%
4-5
16%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
2%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Quilmes The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato The Market 28%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.51 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.71
0.91 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.43
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Patronato
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
303 Passes 138
73% Pass Accuracy 54%
34 Box Touches 8
55 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
09.09.2024 Patronato Patronato 1-1 HT 1-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
23.04.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 2-2 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
06.06.2017 Quilmes Quilmes 0-1 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJ
23.02.2016 Quilmes Quilmes 2-2 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJ
REVIEW Quilmes vs Patronato
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Quilmes and Patronato with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.

A gentle 48% lean on Quilmes didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Patronato led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.25 a game for Quilmes against 1.50 for Patronato.

Quilmes vs Patronato Result & Final Score

Quilmes 1 - 1 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Quilmes vs Patronato Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 48%, draw 31%, Patronato 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Quilmes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Quilmes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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