Dender EH 5-0 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.4
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
11%
5.77
X/2
8%
6.36
X/X
11%
5.28
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
20%
3.95
2/X
7%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.5pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -21%
1.17/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.33
-4% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
20.0 Crosses 14.9
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
0W-2D-1L
AWAY OH Leuven
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.96 xG 1.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 Passes 370
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 4-4 HT 3-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
15.02.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-2 HT 1-2 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
09.11.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 1-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
5-0
AWAY OH Leuven
2.95 xG 2.03
35% Ball Possession 65%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
242 Passes 479
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH swept aside OH Leuven 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dender EH as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dender EH had 35% of the ball to OH Leuven's 65%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.95 to 2.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, OH Leuven led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dender EH and 2.67 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs OH Leuven?

Dender EH 5-0 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 41%, draw 24%, OH Leuven 35%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dender EH), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dender EH) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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