Genk 0-2 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.3
1/2
8%
21.45
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
15%
7.93
X/2
14%
5.0
X/X
11%
5.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
31.5
2/2
23%
2.6
2/X
5%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-2.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.3pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 52%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.36/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.18
-21% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
17.7 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Club Brugge
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.49 xG 1.72
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
461 Passes 392
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-0 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
05.02.2025 Genk Genk 1-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEK
15.01.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEK
15.12.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
11.08.2024 Genk Genk 3-2 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
28.04.2024 Genk Genk 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
0-2
AWAY Club Brugge
0.67 xG 1.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
389 Passes 473
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Genk vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge saw off Genk 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Genk had 45% of the ball to Club Brugge's 55%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.67 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Genk and 1.83 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Genk vs Club Brugge?

Genk 0-2 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Genk 32%, draw 23%, Club Brugge 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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