Legia Varşova 0-1 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.25
Over Pick
62%
1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.43
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.68
2-3
42%
1.91
4-5
29%
2.69
6+
11%
7.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.7
1/2
2%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
15%
5.16
X/2
9%
7.61
X/X
14%
5.8
2/1
3%
21.35
2/2
16%
4.93
2/X
5%
13.2
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Legia Varşova The Market 51%
Signal
AWAY Lech Poznan The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.70 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.32
1.14 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.56
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
345 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 0.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
272 Passes 339
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 5-2 HT 2-2 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
12.05.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-2 HT 0-2 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
12.11.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
16.04.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-2 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
01.10.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0-0 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
09.04.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-1 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
0 - 1
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.08 xG 0.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
319 Passes 363
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
39 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Legia Varşova vs Lech Poznan
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lech Poznan came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Legia Varşova 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

A gentle 48% lean on Legia Varşova didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Legia Varşova had 49% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 51%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.08 to 0.66 — on chances, Legia Varşova could feel hard done by.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.50 for Lech Poznan.

Legia Varşova vs Lech Poznan Result & Final Score

Legia Varşova 0 - 1 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Legia Varşova vs Lech Poznan Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 48%, draw 25%, Lech Poznan 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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