Tondela 1-2 Alverca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 11 May 2025

Tondela
1 - 2 HT 1 - 2
Alverca
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Tondela vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.13
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.85
Over
48%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Tondela v Alverca — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tondela The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Alverca The Market 33%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.62 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
1.16 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Great
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2

Tondela vs Alverca Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tondela
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Alverca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.72 xG 0.77
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
254 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.01.2025 Alverca Alverca 1-1 HT 0-1 Tondela Tondela POR2

Tondela 1-2 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tondela
1 - 2
AWAY Alverca
2.01 xG 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
307 Passes 235
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
41 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Tondela vs Alverca
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Alverca edged past Tondela 2-1 on their travels.

Our pre-match lean was Tondela at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

On the day, possession split 52% to 48% in Tondela's favour, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.01 to 0.67 — on chances, Tondela could feel hard done by.

Tondela vs Alverca Result & Final Score

Tondela 1 - 2 Alverca in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tondela vs Alverca Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tondela 41%, draw 30%, Alverca 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tondela), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tondela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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