Maribor 3-1 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
5.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-10.4pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.1pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.49/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.41
+14% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
1W-0D-2L
AWAY ND Primorje
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 2-1 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
24.11.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 2-0 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
01.09.2024 Maribor Maribor 4-1 HT 3-1 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
3-1
AWAY ND Primorje
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maribor vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor saw off ND Primorje 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Maribor had 52% of the ball to ND Primorje's 48%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, ND Primorje led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Maribor and 1.67 for ND Primorje.

What was the final score of Maribor vs ND Primorje?

Maribor 3-1 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Maribor 60%, draw 24%, ND Primorje 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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11 May 2025
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