Bellinzona 2-4 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
9.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 29% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.08/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.22
-25% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
12.7 Crosses 15.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Wil 1900
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.89 xG 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
280 Passes 354
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2026 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 3-3 HT 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
20.12.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
27.09.2025 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
27.04.2025 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 2-2 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
08.03.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-3 HT 0-2 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
14.12.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-2 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
2-4
AWAY Wil 1900
2.22 xG 3.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
377 Passes 354
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wil 1900 saw off Bellinzona 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Wil 1900 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bellinzona had 52% of the ball to Wil 1900's 48%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 2.22 to 3.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wil 1900 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bellinzona and 1.67 for Wil 1900.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Wil 1900?

Bellinzona 2-4 Wil 1900 in the Switzerland Challenge League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wil 1900 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 37%, draw 25%, Wil 1900 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wil 1900), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wil 1900) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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