Neuchatel Xamax 3-0 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.21
2-3 Goals
35%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.51
6+ Goals
13%
5.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.0pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.49/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.24
+11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
15.4 Crosses 11.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 0.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
367 Passes 382
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.02.2026 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-3 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
17.10.2025 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 0-2 HT 0-2 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
22.08.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
09.05.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-2 HT 1-2 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
07.02.2025 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-1 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
18.10.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 0-3 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
3-0
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.63 xG 0.82
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
348 Passes 422
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Neuchatel Xamax vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax cruised past Etoile Carouge 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Neuchatel Xamax as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 47% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 53%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.63 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.50 for Etoile Carouge.

What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Etoile Carouge?

Neuchatel Xamax 3-0 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 44%, draw 24%, Etoile Carouge 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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