Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Etoile Carouge v Neuchatel Xamax — Team-Based Signals
Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Etoile Carouge 1-3 Neuchatel Xamax — Actual Match Statistics
Neuchatel Xamax got the better of Etoile Carouge 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Etoile Carouge at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Etoile Carouge had 42% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 58%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.08 to 1.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Etoile Carouge and 1.17 for Neuchatel Xamax.
What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax?
Etoile Carouge 1-3 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax?
Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 42%, draw 22%, Neuchatel Xamax 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Etoile Carouge) went the other way.