Stade Ouchy 4-2 Aarau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.49
No
34%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.72
6+ Goals
16%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
14%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.4pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.5pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.5pp
66%
BTTS Yes
63%
+3.4pp
34%
BTTS No
37%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarau EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.76/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.69
+7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
17.7 Crosses 13.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Aarau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.48 xG 1.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
337 Passes 256
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-2 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
25.08.2025 Aarau Aarau 3-0 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
04.04.2025 Aarau Aarau 2-2 HT 0-2 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
07.02.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-4 HT 2-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
08.12.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-0 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
09.08.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
4-2
AWAY Aarau
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Aarau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy got the better of Aarau 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stade Ouchy as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 55% of the ball to Aarau's 45%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stade Ouchy and 2.17 for Aarau.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Aarau?

Stade Ouchy 4-2 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Aarau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 44%, draw 20%, Aarau 36%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Ouchy), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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