Aarau 3-0 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
15%
7.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.3pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +19%
1.02/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.23
-19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
15.4 Crosses 16.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.64 xG 1.44
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
286 Passes 318
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.04.2025 Aarau Aarau 2-2 HT 0-2 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
07.02.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-4 HT 2-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
08.12.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-0 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
09.08.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
08.04.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 3-4 HT 1-3 Aarau Aarau İSV2
11.03.2023 Aarau Aarau 2-3 HT 0-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
3-0
AWAY Stade Ouchy
2.06 xG 1.30
33% Ball Possession 67%
18 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 9
166 Passes 439
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
37 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Aarau vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau cruised past Stade Ouchy 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Aarau had 33% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 67%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.06 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Aarau and 1.83 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Aarau vs Stade Ouchy?

Aarau 3-0 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aarau 44%, draw 23%, Stade Ouchy 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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