Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 Vaduz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.47
2-3 Goals
35%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
11%
7.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vaduz EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.59/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.16
+25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 80%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
18.3 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vaduz
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.40 xG 1.57
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
307 Passes 405
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2025 Vaduz Vaduz 2-1 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
14.02.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 0-0 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
08.11.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 2-1 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
30.08.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 4-1 HT 1-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
11.05.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
04.02.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 5-3 HT 3-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
1-1
AWAY Vaduz
1.62 xG 1.35
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
234 Passes 523
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Neuchatel Xamax vs Vaduz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax and Vaduz shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Neuchatel Xamax at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 34% of the ball to Vaduz's 66%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.62 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vaduz led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.83 for Vaduz.

What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Vaduz?

Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 Vaduz in the Switzerland Challenge League on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Vaduz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 44%, draw 26%, Vaduz 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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