Etoile Carouge 0-2 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.23
6+ Goals
12%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.22/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.83
-33% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 82%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
9.7 Crosses 22.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 1.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
369 Passes 400
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.08.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
09.05.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-2 HT 1-2 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
07.02.2025 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-1 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
18.10.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 0-3 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
26.07.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-1 HT 3-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
0-2
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
0.47 xG 0.46
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
457 Passes 317
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax beat Etoile Carouge 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neuchatel Xamax as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 57% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 43%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.47 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Etoile Carouge and 1.00 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Etoile Carouge 0-2 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 35%, draw 23%, Neuchatel Xamax 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✗ BTTS Yes
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