Stade Nyonnais 1-3 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.73
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.0pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +31%
1.38/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.52
-44% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +64%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
19.9 Crosses 16.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Nyonnais
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.50 xG 2.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
195 Passes 400
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.03.2026 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
01.11.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 3-3 HT 1-2 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
12.09.2025 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-2 HT 1-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
26.04.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 0-1 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
21.02.2025 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 3-0 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
08.11.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 6-2 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Nyonnais
1-3
AWAY Stade Ouchy
0.54 xG 1.98
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
293 Passes 357
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Nyonnais vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy saw off Stade Nyonnais 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stade Ouchy as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stade Nyonnais had 45% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 55%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.54 to 1.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stade Nyonnais and 2.00 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Stade Nyonnais vs Stade Ouchy?

Stade Nyonnais 1-3 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Nyonnais vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stade Nyonnais 32%, draw 23%, Stade Ouchy 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Ouchy), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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