Wil 1900 2-2 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+6.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
1.20/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.62
+5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -44%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
16.2 Crosses 22.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wil 1900
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bellinzona
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.51 xG 1.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
260 Passes 330
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-3 HT 0-2 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
14.12.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-2 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
20.07.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-3 HT 1-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
06.04.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 4-1 HT 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
17.02.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-0 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
10.11.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wil 1900
2-2
AWAY Bellinzona
1.45 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
372 Passes 260
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wil 1900 vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wil 1900 and Bellinzona couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Wil 1900 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wil 1900 had 56% of the ball to Bellinzona's 44%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 1.45 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wil 1900 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wil 1900 and 0.50 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Wil 1900 vs Bellinzona?

Wil 1900 2-2 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wil 1900 vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wil 1900 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wil 1900 42%, draw 24%, Bellinzona 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wil 1900) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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