Vaduz vs Etoile Carouge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vaduz v Etoile Carouge — Team-Based Signals
Vaduz vs Etoile Carouge Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Vaduz 1-0 Etoile Carouge — Actual Match Statistics
Vaduz nicked a narrow win over Etoile Carouge 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Etoile Carouge at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Vaduz had 43% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 57%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 2.18 to 0.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vaduz's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vaduz and 2.00 for Etoile Carouge.
What was the final score of Vaduz vs Etoile Carouge?
Vaduz 1-0 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Etoile Carouge?
Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 33%, draw 26%, Etoile Carouge 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.