Napoli 2-3 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 11 May 2026

Napoli
2 - 3 HT 1 - 2
Bologna
📅11/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.54
Draw
22%
3.81
Away
15%
5.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.85
Over
49%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.97
No
51%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.05
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.56
6+
5%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.93
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
4%
15.75
X/1
20%
3.9
X/2
6%
11.4
X/X
14%
5.14
2/1
3%
24.35
2/2
8%
9.88
2/X
4%
18.1
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Napoli The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.88 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.91
0.87 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.88
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
437 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bologna
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.81 xG 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 Passes 399
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2025 Napoli Napoli 2-0 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTSK
07.04.2025 Bologna Bologna 1-1 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
25.08.2024 Napoli Napoli 3-0 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
11.05.2024 Napoli Napoli 0-2 HT 0-2 Bologna Bologna İTA
24.09.2023 Bologna Bologna 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
28.05.2023 Bologna Bologna 2-2 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
2 - 3
AWAY Bologna
0.80 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
425 Passes 386
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Napoli vs Bologna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bologna came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Napoli 3-2 on their travels. Half-time: 1-2. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

File this under upsets: a 63% lean on Napoli went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.74, about 57%.

The match data tells the story: possession split 52% to 48% in Napoli's favour, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.80 to 1.26.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Napoli against 0.83 for Bologna.

Napoli vs Bologna Result & Final Score

Napoli 2 - 3 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Napoli vs Bologna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Napoli 63%, draw 22%, Bologna 15%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Napoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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