Napoli vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Napoli v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Napoli 2-3 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Napoli 3-2 on their travels. Half-time: 1-2. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
File this under upsets: a 63% lean on Napoli went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.74, about 57%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 52% to 48% in Napoli's favour, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.80 to 1.26.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Napoli against 0.83 for Bologna.
Napoli vs Bologna Result & Final Score
Napoli 2 - 3 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Napoli vs Bologna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Napoli 63%, draw 22%, Bologna 15%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.