İran 0-0 Özbekistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
20.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 31% vs market 29.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.8pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.8pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İran EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Özbekistan EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.36/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.17
+26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / -47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.0
22.3 Crosses 21.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İran
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Özbekistan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 Passes 226
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2023 Özbekistan Özbekistan 2-2 HT 0-2 İran İran DKE
11.09.2018 Özbekistan Özbekistan 0-1 HT 0-0 İran İran HAZ
12.06.2017 İran İran 2-0 HT 1-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan DKE
06.10.2016 Özbekistan Özbekistan 0-1 HT 0-1 İran İran DKE
11.06.2015 Özbekistan Özbekistan 0-1 HT 0-0 İran İran HAZ
14.11.2012 İran İran 0-1 HT 0-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan DKE
POST-MATCH İran vs Özbekistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İran and Özbekistan played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was İran at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İran had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for İran and 0.50 for Özbekistan.

What was the final score of İran vs Özbekistan?

İran 0-0 Özbekistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İran vs Özbekistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a İran win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split İran 49%, draw 32%, Özbekistan 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (İran) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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