Kongo 0-6 Fas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2024

Kongo
0-6 HT 0-4
Fas
📅11/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
16.01
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
65%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
2.1
Over 2.5
37%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.81
No
67%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 36% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
4%
+12.1pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.2pp
65%
Away Win
80%
-15.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
44%
+19.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
56%
-19.2pp
33%
BTTS Yes
32%
+1.7pp
67%
BTTS No
68%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongo EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Fas EU Bookmakers 84%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.00/2.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.00
+146% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% /
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
175 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongo
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Fas
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
27.05.2016 Fas Fas 2-0 HT 1-0 Kongo Kongo HAZ
27.03.2015 Fas Fas 2-0 HT 1-0 Kongo Kongo HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kongo
0-6
AWAY Fas
0.19 xG 3.13
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 3
301 Passes 591
84% Pass Accuracy 92%
15 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kongo vs Fas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas cruised past Kongo 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fas as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (67%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Kongo had 37% of the ball to Fas's 63%, shots finished 3-21, expected goals 0.19 to 3.13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fas led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kongo and 2.00 for Fas.

What was the final score of Kongo vs Fas?

Kongo 0-6 Fas in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongo vs Fas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fas win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Kongo 16%, draw 19%, Fas 65%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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